Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 90.363832 100.691412 111.190887 122.633440 134.722601 147.086920 160.660244
2025-08-24 74.395805 89.378115 105.227245 123.119101 142.638094 163.179088 186.324442
2025-08-31 63.470006 80.899844 99.907045 121.921572 146.481707 172.827875 203.021537
2025-09-07 56.645612 76.029716 97.723602 123.385121 152.528160 184.257516 221.088904
2025-09-14 51.380550 72.319000 96.306879 125.208384 158.530795 195.259790 238.341703
2025-09-21 45.459759 67.277858 92.886023 124.314100 161.089549 202.106106 250.692967
2025-09-28 39.557435 61.759181 88.484609 121.901241 161.578240 206.339280 259.860809
2025-10-05 37.697224 61.119879 89.813291 126.144714 169.700384 219.203333 278.751918
2025-10-12 35.284371 59.559080 89.848425 128.698977 175.730126 229.580241 294.743817
2025-10-19 31.702298 56.186065 87.411914 128.067745 177.832681 235.288715 305.276065
2025-10-26 28.486897 53.064963 85.105406 127.435025 179.800778 240.735527 315.418662
2025-11-02 26.130741 50.959882 83.974745 128.155915 183.315825 247.933498 327.544238
2025-11-09 23.324871 48.038443 81.667165 127.331996 184.931297 252.907218 337.133680
2025-11-16 21.175868 45.919644 80.316492 127.643170 187.882572 259.435281 348.532253
2025-11-23 18.718808 43.125833 77.897786 126.450013 188.868546 263.531958 356.997589
2025-11-30 17.341269 41.908246 77.578232 127.939642 193.164281 271.586884 370.138473
2025-12-07 16.189900 40.961140 77.575753 129.801813 197.897664 280.153313 383.880306
2025-12-14 14.332579 38.677409 75.557230 128.888726 199.047588 284.312455 392.319981
2025-12-21 12.234537 35.762425 72.475885 126.425193 198.125288 285.866462 397.575607
2025-12-28 12.038645 36.230568 74.381374 130.757536 205.947042 298.175375 415.799697
2026-01-04 11.431921 35.888971 75.044969 133.364677 211.529670 307.722393 430.695585
2026-01-11 10.111373 34.073730 73.400393 132.720420 212.848239 311.965949 439.152002
2026-01-18 8.906442 32.344423 71.801278 132.074616 214.116666 316.113062 447.466408